The latest UN Environment Programme (UNEP) Emissions Gap Report 2025 confirmed that while new national climate commitments (NDCs) slightly lower global warming projections, the world remains far off the 1.5°C target. The report projects global temperatures will reach 2.3°C–2.5°C and warns that exceeding the 1.5°C multi-decadal average is very likely within the next decade. The findings stress the urgent need for more stringent, near-term emissions cuts to minimize overshoot and reduce reliance on costly and risky carbon dioxide removal methods.
